The seasonality and effect of daily weather on daily case fatality of the acute myocardial infarction incidence. A case study of
Project Title: The seasonality and effect of daily weather on daily case fatality of the acute myocardial infarction incidence. A case study of Finland.
Collaborating GEO-BENE partners: KTL, Finland (leader)
Background
The seasonality and the effect of the daily weather on AMI case fatality, i.e. the probability of dying for a patient, has not been well researched. Better understanding of underlying risk factors may lead to better allocation of hospital resources thus saving human lives.
Data
Geo-referenced first AMI case-fatality and population data for subjects aged 25-74, for the years 1983, 1988, and 1993, and the daily weather data.
Methods
Statistical modelling: Binomial regression with weather effects and seasonal variation included cross-validation checks performed for the forecast potential.
Results
Preliminary results suggest seasonality in case-fatality. The observed seasonal pattern does not differ significantly by age and/or sex.
Status
The analysis is at its final stage. The manuscript is in preparation to be submitted to an epidemiology journal by the end of February 2008
Over the next decade, a Global Earth Observation System of Systems (GEOSS) will revolutionize our understanding of the Earth and how it works, producing societal benefits through more coordinated observations, better data management, increased data sharing and timely applications.
• Conrad C. Lautenbacher
Announcements
The Geo-Bene project was selected as a success story in Research for Europe by European Commision Research!
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